Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 3.009173e-01 4.044802e-01 0.525081 0.673691 0.849669 1.049281 1.290632
2025-12-14 1.647505e-01 2.851045e-01 0.448537 0.676350 0.975384 1.344700 1.825086
2025-12-21 8.452502e-02 1.969261e-01 0.377207 0.660263 1.067104 1.605826 2.347237
2025-12-28 4.486855e-02 1.455328e-01 0.336593 0.670591 1.188299 1.912284 2.951604
2026-01-04 2.185950e-02 1.060995e-01 0.298121 0.670793 1.289278 2.195757 3.543376
2026-01-11 8.508994e-03 7.236145e-02 0.253580 0.646657 1.344664 2.414110 4.055722
2026-01-18 2.706356e-03 4.955347e-02 0.219051 0.629010 1.403395 2.636815 4.582323
2026-01-25 7.143465e-04 3.607481e-02 0.198912 0.632662 1.495217 2.912506 5.196144
2026-02-01 4.782732e-05 2.313737e-02 0.169706 0.607691 1.530314 3.098223 5.682129
2026-02-08 4.519876e-07 1.828807e-02 0.164406 0.635429 1.664023 3.448109 6.428026
2026-02-15 NaN 1.272031e-02 0.150133 0.636733 1.745635 3.715000 7.055099
2026-02-22 NaN 1.112158e-02 0.153834 0.685688 1.925075 4.153028 7.961134
2026-03-01 NaN 8.667789e-03 0.150280 0.715356 2.070882 4.545680 8.817501
2026-03-08 NaN 5.984505e-03 0.140611 0.725093 2.176368 4.874377 9.584676
2026-03-15 NaN 3.448568e-03 0.124940 0.711745 2.230846 5.116079 10.220490
2026-03-22 NaN 2.241972e-03 0.118063 0.724485 2.342665 5.463260 11.035789
2026-03-29 NaN 1.262160e-03 0.108717 0.725654 2.427834 5.765032 11.784233
2026-04-05 NaN 4.765928e-04 0.093756 0.700619 2.449438 5.950915 12.346419
2026-04-12 NaN 1.398406e-04 0.081873 0.682187 2.483577 6.159905 12.951083
2026-04-19 NaN 4.023004e-05 0.075921 0.686179 2.571893 6.472959 13.736825
2026-04-26 NaN 9.387727e-07 0.064446 0.659794 2.581219 6.635536 14.271709
2026-05-03 NaN 2.111891e-08 0.064472 0.689208 2.735282 7.081072 15.297174
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.059410 0.690606 2.816286 7.387238 16.090185